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Markets The fall-out of Reeves’ “one of the largest fiscal loosenings of any fiscal event in recent decades” on UK bond markets went into a second day. Gilt yields sprint another 10.1 (30-yr) to 19 (2-yr) bps higher with new YtD highs for all maturities >5 years. The front-end is heavily influenced by central bank […]

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17/05/2024

GBPJPY Ascends as BoJ is on the Lookout

GBPJPY in the green again, returns to pre-intervention levels Increasing possibility of another BoJ intervention Momentum indicators remain mostly bullish GBPJPY is edging higher again today, recording its ninth green candle in the last 10 sessions. The bearish momentum after the recent BoJ interventions has faded with the pair quickly returning to pre-intervention levels. This move raises […]
02/02/2024

US Jobs Report Will Set the Tone for Markets

In focus today In the US, we will get the US January job report. We expect the employment growth to have slowed down to 180k from 216k in December, which is a robust pace in historical terms. We expect average hourly earnings growth to have slowed to 0.3% m/m SA from 0.4% in December. In […]
15/06/2024

Housing and Retail Sales Data to Show Canadians Continue to Hold Back

Economic data in the week ahead should show further softening in Canadian (per-person) household spending before the Bank of Canada pivoted to lower interest rates in June. Early reports from regional real estate boards suggested housing markets were in a holding pattern in May. Home resales edged lower in most regions including Toronto, Vancouver, and […]