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Markets When (core) markets barely move the way they do today it’s because there’s little news or important events are looming. It’s both in this case. An empty economic calendar and the Fed policy meeting tonight resulted in technical and directionless trading in FI and FX markets. US yields swapped tiny gains of 1.5 bps […]

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31/05/2024

U.S. Consumer Spending and Income Slow in April

Personal income slowed to 0.3% month-on-month (m/m) in April, down from March’s 0.5% gain, but in line with market expectations . Accounting for inflation and taxes, real personal disposable income declined -0.1% m/m in April, reversing all of last month’s gain. Personal consumption expenditures rose by 0.2% m/m. This is lower than the revised 0.7% […]
19/09/2024

Dollar Trades Mixed After Fed Rate Cut

The Federal Reserve surprised the market yesterday by cutting the dollar rate by 0.5%, with expectations that a similar reduction might occur by the end of the year. The dollar initially dropped sharply following the announcement but then partially recovered after comments from Jerome Powell. The Fed Chair stated that the current decision would not […]
02/09/2024

And September Arrives

August ended on a positive note. Friday’s data showed that the US PCE and the core PCE index stagnated near the levels printed a month earlier instead of a small uptick. Personal spending rose more than expected – and more than income, but the US saving rate fell to 2.9% – the lowest since 2022. […]