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Markets Yesterday’s hawkish FOMC cut still resonated today. The front end of the curve outperformed slightly after US money markets even outhawked the Fed, looking to only 1 instead 2 rate cuts next year. The US 2-yr yield returns 4.5 bps of yesterday’s 15 bps gain. Long-end US bond yields remain upwardly oriented with the […]

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17/06/2024

Sunset Market Commentary

Markets A sense of calm returned to European markets for now. Le Pen from the poll-leading Rassemblement National sought to reassure investors on the budgetary front if her party were to win the elections. It may have helped to stop the rout in European/French assets in a daily perspective after a disastrous week. Equities in […]
05/01/2024

China’s Rise To The World’s Largest Economy Is Delayed

Summary The U.S. economy remains the largest economy in the world. But, will the U.S. be able to maintain that status forever? In our view, the answer is no. We believe China is on a path to eventually overtake the U.S. and become the world’s largest economy. However, China’s structural challenges and vulnerabilities combined with […]
05/11/2024

AUD/USD Outlook: Hawkish RBA Lifts Aussie Dollar Towards Key Resistance Zone

AUDUSD rose to one week high on Tuesday morning, after the RBA kept interest rates steady at 12-year high and kept hawkish stance on persisting upside inflation risk, although remains ready to act if economy weakens more. Near-term action is holding within a recovery leg from 0.6587 (Oct 30 low) and was boosted by Monday’s […]