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Markets The two-day sell-off on core bond markets slightly went into reverse today. A downward revision to US Q1 price deflators (core PCE 3.6% Q/Q from 3.7%) and Q1 personal consumption (2% Q/Q from 2.5%) triggered the leap higher in which US Treasuries outperform German Bunds. Weekly jobless claims continue to hover near extremely low […]

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15/08/2024

Nasdaq 100: Bears May Still Be Lurking Around the Corner

The market seems to be focused now on growth-related macro data rather than inflation risk. Another softer US retail sales may spark another recession aka hard-landing fear. The rise of the VVIX / VIX ratio may see another potential spike in the VIX. Watch the 19,230 key short-term resistance on the Nasdaq 100. In July, […]
25/06/2024

ICYMI: Monday Market Breakdown

The US Dollar (USD) declined during Monday’s European session as political concerns in Europe receded, shifting focus to France’s upcoming election. This reduced safe-haven demand for the USD. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen (JPY) continued to weaken against the USD, nearing the critical 160.00 level, which previously triggered intervention by Japan’s Ministry of Finance. Economically, lighter […]
26/03/2024

Focus on US and Swedish Data Today

In focus today From the US, durable goods orders are due for release for February and Conference Board will release its consumer confidence survey for March. Consumer confidence has improved gradually over the winter as slower inflation supports real incomes. In Sweden we get producer and import price index for February and the Economic Tendency […]