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In focus today Today, the US election year kicks off with the Iowa Republican Caucuses. Prediction markets see Trump as the clear favourite to win the Republican candidacy, and he is projected to win over half of all votes in Iowa according to the latest polls. The Iowa caucuses are often seen as a bellwether […]

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Technical Outlook and Review

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Dollar Index: Firmer Tone Keeps in Play Hopes for Test of Near-Term Range Top

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30/07/2024

WTI Oil: At the Risk of Further Drop to Retest Major Range Support of US$73.15-71.35/Barrel

Citigroup Economic Surprise Indices across the different regions (except for Latin America) on average are suggesting lackluster economic growth. US crude oil inventories (excluding SPR) are showing signs of a build-up. Technical factors are suggesting further potential weakness for WTI crude oil below US$80.30 key medium-term resistance. Since its high of US$84.74 printed on 5 […]
27/03/2024

Crypto Market: A Breather After the Climb

Market picture The capitalisation has stabilised around the $2.63 trillion level, losing 1.7% in 24 hours, but very close to where it was at the end of the day on Monday. Bitcoin is down 1.2%, Ethereum lost 2.3%, BNB sank 3%, and Solana is minus 4%. On the surface, the trend is for a deeper […]
21/05/2024

Fed Rate Expectations Whipsawed by Fed Speakers and US CPI

It has been a rollercoaster period for Fed rate cut expectations Sticky US inflation is keeping the market on its toes Numerous Fed speakers this week; market sensitive to hawkish comments Dollar’s 2024 gains dented despite divergent monetary policy outlooks The year started with the market firmly believing that the Fed would deliver six rate […]