FOMC June Meeting Minutes Will Offer Some Insights into the Debate

Summary Consumer price inflation likely firmed in June relative to May but remained on a downward trajectory through the month-to-month noise. We estimate headline CPI rose 0.1% in June, with a decline in gasoline prices helping keep the overall increase in prices tame. The core index also looks to have rebounded slightly. We expect core […]

The Kiwi is the worst intraday performer among the major currencies as it slumped to a 4-week low against the US dollar. A dovish tilt in the latest RBNZ monetary policy statement has triggered a narrowing of the yield discount between the 2-year Australian and New Zealand government bonds. AUD/NZD has staged a medium-term bullish […]

This week, inflation came in below expectations in the euro area and the US. In the euro area, headline inflation fell much more than expected to 2.4% y/y (consensus: 2.7% y/y) in November from 2.9% in October. The decline was broad-based as core inflation ticked down to 3.6% from 4.2%. Remarkably, the monthly change in […]