September Caution

Markets It’s telling that core bonds do not gain when markets are in risk-off. German bunds underperformed US Treasuries yesterday with a political risk premium boosting yields between 0.2 (2-yr) and 6.8 bps (30-yr) higher. Far-right advanced (sharply) in the European parliamentary elections in many countries including Germany, Italy and France. In a direct consequence, […]

The higher-than-expected inflation data for January has reignited concerns about rising prices and its implications for Federal Reserve policy. While investors had anticipated rate cuts in the near term, the hot inflation print may delay such actions. As the Fed navigates the delicate balance between containing inflation and supporting economic growth, market participants will closely […]

Gold is under pressure this week, having pulled back to the $2300 per troy ounce level. The decline since Friday’s close is over 3.7%. The formal trigger is a more moderate escalation in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict than expected at the beginning of the month. However, we view the current pullback as a welcome technical correction […]