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Part III: A New Toolkit To Predict Soft-Landings, Stagflation and Recessions Summary In the third installment of this series, we introduce a probit framework to generate four-quarter-out probabilities of three scenarios: recession, stagflation and soft-landing. Instead of relying on one regression with one set of predictors, we create several regressions with different sets of predictors […]

The post Soft-Landing, or No Soft-Landing, That Is the Question: Part III appeared first on Action Forex.

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04/12/2023

Bitcoin Surpasses $40,000 Per Coin

December begins extremely optimistically for the cryptocurrency market, resembling: → December 2020, when bitcoin grew by 46.9%; → December 2017, when bitcoin grew by 38.9%; → December 2016, when bitcoin grew by 30.8%. If there are psychological patterns in the increase in demand on the eve of the holidays, then perhaps they come into force, […]
22/04/2024

Sterling Finally Snapped. Speech by BoE Ramsden the Straw that Broke the Camel’s Back.

Markets Sterling finally snapped. A speech by Bank of England Ramsden was the straw that broke the camel’s back. He referred amongst others to the April CPI figure which will likely show the UK converging with the EU. Earlier last week, Bank of England governor Bailey also referred to that number which might even (temporarily) […]
06/02/2024

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Looking to Extend Higher

Short Term Elliott Wave view in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests the rally to 49500 on January 11, 2024 ended wave (3). Pullback in wave (4) is proposed complete at 38503.8 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Up from wave (4), wave (i) ended at 40526.3 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 39419.8. The crypto […]