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Part IV: A New Framework to Predict Probability of Monetary Policy Pivots Summary The fourth installment of this series develops a new framework to quantify episodes of monetary policy pivots. We also present a probit regression to predict the probability of a policy pivot during the next two quarters. In our view, accurately predicting periods […]

The post Soft-Landing, or No Soft-Landing, That Is the Question: Part IV appeared first on Action Forex.

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12/01/2024

Middle East Escalation Coincides With Oil Price Key Level

Oil is up 2.8% since the start of the day on Friday following a new round of escalation in the Middle East. The price of Brent rose above $80, while a barrel of WTI traded above $75. The US and the UK carried out strikes on military targets in Yemen, which has vowed not to […]
06/06/2024

AUDJPY Wave Analysis

AUDJPY reversed from support level 103.00 Likely to rise to resistance level 104.50 AUDJPY currency pair recently reversed up from the key support level 103.00 (which has been reversing the price from the middle of May). The support level 103.00 was strengthened by the lower daily Bollinger Band and by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of […]
22/06/2024

S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 Week Ahead: Is It Time for a Deeper Retracement as US Investors Shed Equity Funds…?

Over the past two weeks, US investors have shed nearly $30 billion dollars of US equity funds (net selling) according to data from LSEG. A bullish week for the S&P 500 but the Nasdaq 100 looks less convincing. A pullback in Nvidia stock and the psychological 20000 barrier have halted the Nasdaq’s impressive early week […]