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The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) refused to join the Federal Reserve (Fed)-thrown pivot party. Both Christine Lagarde and Andrew Bailey declined to discuss cutting interest rates judging a policy loosening too early as the inflation threat looms. BoE’s Bailey pointed at the possibility of another rate hike, as three […]

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After Recent Sharp Decline in Yields, Market Dynamics Might Gradually Change a Bit

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14/06/2024

Bank of England Preview – Laying the Groundwork for an August Cut

We expect the Bank of England (BoE) to keep the Bank Rate unchanged at 5.25% on 20 June, which is in line with consensus and current market pricing. Overall, we expect the MPC to stick to its current communication, priming the markets for a forthcoming start to a cutting cycle. We expect the first 25bp […]
23/07/2024

Crypto: Tactical Retreat from the Peak

Market picture The cryptocurrency market lost 2% of its capitalisation in 24 hours to $2.41 trillion. However, this is a pullback from a high base. This tug-of-war between bulls and bears points to the importance of the current situation. Bitcoin and Ethereum are losing just over 1% each, while most altcoins are losing significantly more, […]
15/01/2024

Euro Drifting Ahead of German CPI

The euro is showing limited movement on Monday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0948, down 0.02%. German inflation is on the rise Germany’s inflation rate climbed to 3.7% y/y in December, up from 3.2% in November, which was a two-year low. We’ll get the final estimate on Tuesday. The main contributor to […]