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Markets Since the May 1 Fed decision/communication dominos fell in place for markets to embrace a correction on the April higher-for-long rally in US (and broader) yields. Despite US inflation holding sticky, Fed Chair Powell ‘reassured’ markets that policy was tight enough. Slow progress in inflation only caused to Fed to delay a first rate […]

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Australian Dollar Surges After US Inflation Ease

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05/04/2024

RBNZ May Start Laying Groundwork for a Rate Cut

A dovish shift seems to be underway at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Technical recession and falling inflation may pave way for 2024 rate cut Is a dovish hold on the cards at Wednesday’s meeting (02:00 GMT)? Weaker economy has been good news for inflation New Zealand’s economy shrunk in the final three months […]
26/04/2024

Weekly Focus – Rate Cut Expectations Pushed Back Further

It has been a volatile week for risk markets, once again mostly driven by expectations regarding the first rate cuts by the big central banks. Euro area PMIs came out much stronger than expected, and service sector output prices increased, raising a question of whether the ECB was too complacent when they basically pre-committed to […]
11/01/2024

WTI Crude Oil Remains Within Descending Channel

WTI oil holds beneath 20-day SMA 200-day SMA looks like significant resistance WTI crude oil futures with delivery in February have been developing within a descending channel since the end of September. Currently, the market is holding beneath the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and near the 72.00 number with strong resistance being the 74.25 […]