The Grumpy Hawk and Other Scenarios

EURUSD is consolidating under new multi-week high on Wednesday, after bulls cleared pivotal Fibo resistance at 1.0959 (61.8% of 1.1275/1.0448 downtrend) and cracked psychological 1.10 barrier. The Euro received fresh support from expectations that the Fed is done with rate hikes and rising bets for start of cutting interest rates in the first half of […]

Yesterday was one of those days when investors insisted on seeing a glass that was one-tenth full as completely full. The US producer price data came in higher than expected. The US factory-gate prices jumped 0.5% on a monthly basis instead of 0.3% penciled in, the yearly figures increased in line with expectations. US President […]

Markets The Fed kept the policy rate unchanged at 5.25-5.5% yesterday. The expected decision was accompanied by a statement that mentioned “modest” further progress towards the 2% inflation objective instead of the “lack” of it in the May edition. It’s the only change and feels like a post-CPI addition. The dot plot entailed bigger changes […]