Trading Probably Will Take a Slow Start

Further weakness in the US ISM Manufacturing PMI & Employment sub-component increases the risk of a hard landing scenario. A Fed interest rate cut that is implemented late in the US economic cycle where a downturn may be already in motion sees the evaporation of the earlier outperformance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and […]

Short-term positive animal spirits have resurfaced in China and Hong Kong stock markets stoked by additional liquidity injection from PBoC and the creation of a “stabilization fund”. Long-term prospects are still dim as a liquidity trap scenario cannot be ruled out in the real economy due to weak consumer and business sentiment. Watch the next […]

Today, the ECB decided to leave policy rates unchanged as unanimously expected. A rate cut looks set to come in June, subject to further confidence on the three criteria that have guided ECB policy making through the past year. The next to no new policy signals left markets largely unchanged. Limited new signals The ECB […]